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Market Edges — Value Picks
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia
Over 2.5 Goals · La Liga
★
+11.4%
Edge
67.2%
Our Prob.
55.8%
Implied
Odds
1.79
Confidence 82
Market Edges

Find the Markets the Bookmakers Got Wrong

Our models scan every market across 100+ leagues and surface picks where our probability estimate beats the current odds — ranked by edge strength so you always see the best opportunities first.

  • Edge % over bookmaker implied probability
  • Confidence score 0–100 based on sample depth and model certainty
  • Odds format toggle — decimal, American, or fractional
  • Star any pick to track it in your Favorites queue
Signals — Match Analysis
Home xG avg 1.82 — Strong attacking output last 6 matches Over lean
BTTS rate 43% — Away side keeps clean sheets in 4 of last 8 Mixed
Away corners avg 3.1 — Low set-piece volume in recent away games Under lean
Signals

Every Relevant Data Signal in One View

Form, xG, BTTS, Over/Under rates, corners, cards — filtered and ranked so you see what actually matters for this specific match. No noise, no irrelevant stats from five seasons ago.

  • xG averages (home & away, last 6 and season)
  • Form streaks and head-to-head records
  • BTTS and Clean Sheet percentage
  • Over/Under 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 rates
  • Corners and cards per game averages
Match Context — Tier Matchup Results
57%
Win
21%
Draw
22%
Loss
Match Context

League Position & Tier Matchup Analysis

Understand how teams of each tier perform in this exact role — home vs away, positional tier matchup — based on hundreds of real results from comparable fixtures across the season.

  • Win / Draw / Loss ring charts for each tier matchup
  • Over 1.5 / Over 2.5 / BTTS outcome rings
  • First scorer and corners context by role
  • Sample size shown for statistical confidence